Key Risks in 2021/22

The major uncertainties for the Fund in the FY 2021/22 related to the top 12 risks described in the tables below.

LOW RISK

MEDIUM RISK

HIGH RISK

RISK INCREASING

RISK REDUCING

RISK UNCHANGED

NEW RISK

RISK 7: Governance risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

Following the amendment of the NSSF Act, the appointing authority for the Board of the NSSF changed from the Minister of Finance, Planning & Economic Development (FPED) to the Minister of Gender, Labour & Social Development (GLSD).

This came at a time when the current board had already been appointed by the Minister of FPED, which created a legal challenge on the validity of the Board’s appointment. However, this was quickly resolved by ratification of the board appointment by the Minister of GLSD.

Additionally, during the FY, the Fund undertook restructuring, which was motivated by a need to make the Fund more responsive to changes in the operating environment. As expected, this change created anxiety among staff. However, Management put in place change management structures to address staff concerns.

Opportunities

Redesign of the Fund’s business model and governance structures to increase agility, improve customer experience and promote an innovative culture.

OUTLOOK

The current key governance challenge is to effectively manage the organisational redesign process. Ad hoc leadership committees have been established to manage the process.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

RISK 8: Compliance & Litigation risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

Litigation is one of the key risks that the Fund is exposed to from time to time; with most of the litigation cases relating to land disputes. The good news is that in majority of decided cases, the Fund has always come out victorious.

 

As a way of mitigating the risk of successful litigation against the Fund, we conduct comprehensive due diligence before we purchase land, and we have adequate legal resources to defend the Fund’s interest in any litigation.

Opportunities

Sensitisation of all stakeholders helps to minimise non-compliance with regulatory and contractual obligations, which minimises litigations.

OUTLOOK

Litigation cases are likely to arise from time to time. However, the Fund is well equipped to address any litigation challenges.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

RISK 9: Market risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

The pandemic and the war in Ukraine raised market sentiments against stocks, which led to a drop in the equity prices, resulting in UGX 124.4Bn in capital losses as at the end of the FY.

Foreign exchange fluctuations resulted in a cumulative foreign exchange net loss of UGX 13.6Bn, while fixed income performed well.

The Fund responded by allocating more funds to the fixed income portfolio in quarter 3 and 4, to take advantage of the rising interest rates.

Opportunities

The rising interest rates, especially on treasury instruments, is an attractive opportunity for the Fund.

OUTLOOK

Interest rates are likely to increase as the government intends to increase domestic borrowing by 70%, according to the 2022/23 budget.

 

In the medium term, stocks are likely to remain volatile due to the current global uncertainties and the upcoming Kenyan elections (for NSE).

 

The UGX may continue to gain ground against foreign currencies, as dollar inflows to finance the oil project increase.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

RISK 10: Financial crime Risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

No major incidents of financial impropriety were reported in the financial year.

 

The Fund maintained strong internal controls to prevent and/or detect potential financial crimes.

Opportunities

The possibility of an escalation in financial crime gives us an opportunity to strengthen our controls even more.

OUTLOOK

Financial crimes, especially fraud, are likely to escalate due to deteriorating economic conditions, fuelled by high inflation.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

RISK 11: Limited product range risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

Broadening the product offering has always been a big challenge for the Fund due to regulatory barriers.

 

However, when the NSSF Act was amended to provide for midterm access and allow the NSSF Board to innovate and develop new products, this challenge was overcome.

Opportunities

Following the amendments of the NSSF Act, the Fund can now broaden its product offering to its members.

OUTLOOK

In addition to the new product (midterm access), the Fund is currently developing several additional products.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

RISK 12: Taxation risk

Description of risk and the Fund’s response

Several new taxes and tax conditions were introduced during the FY; but the ones that had direct implication to the Fund included:

  • VAT (Value Added Tax) on imported services
  • Capping of allowable rental expenses to 50%
  • Restriction on the period for claiming input VAT to 6 months from the date of the transaction

 

We undertook effective tax planning to minimise the tax burden.

Opportunities

With careful tax planning, tax avoidance opportunities can be identified and exploited.

OUTLOOK

According to the government budget 2022/23, no new taxes were introduced.

2020/21

2022/23

TREND

Capitals impacted

Stakeholders Impacted

Material Matters

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

Heatmap (Severity and trend): 2020-22